Society & Ethics

Anthropic scientist puts the odds of AI destroying humanity above ten percent this decade

· September 9, 2026
Anthropic scientist puts the odds of AI destroying humanity above ten percent this decade

What happened

Jacob Coxon, a former researcher at OpenAI and Anthropic, resigned and openly accused both companies of knowingly risking human extinction by pursuing advanced AI development without adequate safeguards. His Anthropic colleague Evan Hubinger estimates there is more than a ten percent chance that a misaligned superintelligent AI could wipe out humanity within this decade. These claims come amid increasing debates over AI safety and ethical responsibilities in the race to build powerful AI systems.

Why it matters

These assertions put intense pressure on AI companies to reconsider their development pace and risk management. When leading insiders publicly express serious doubts about the safety of current approaches, it forces investors, regulators, and operators to weigh the potential existential dangers alongside commercial incentives. Founders and builders face heightened scrutiny around alignment techniques and transparency. The risk of AI-triggered catastrophe, even if it remains uncertain, demands stronger safety standards, potentially slowing release timelines and raising compliance costs.

What to watch next

Attention will focus on how Anthropic, OpenAI, and other major AI players respond to these allegations. Will they adopt more conservative development paths or enhance safety protocols? Regulators may escalate oversight and demand clearer accountability. Investors may price in greater risk premiums, impacting funding for ambitious but potentially hazardous AI projects. Watch for further insider disclosures and whether external safety audits become a standard part of AI development cycles.

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